Climate Change Science Program

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The Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) was created by the Federal government of the United States in February, 2002 to address unresolved questions regarding climate change and global warming. The CCSP's goal is to "integrate federal research on global change and climate change" across thirteen federal agencies. Overview of the U.S. CCSP, Fact Sheet 1 January 2006 The CCSP incorporates and integrates the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) with the Administration’s U.S. Climate Change Research Initiative (CCRI). More than 20 CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Product reports (SAPs) CCSP Information on Synthesis and Assessment Products web page are scheduled to be produced with the intent of providing decision support information to policymakers and the public.

In announcing the CCRI, Transcript of 11 June 2001 Presidential Rose Garden speech, White House web site George W. Bush directed the reestablishment of priorities for climate change research, including a focus on identifying the scientific information that can be developed within 2 to 5 years to assist the nation's evaluation of optimal strategies to address global change risks.

The US Climate Change Science Program has five goals: Press release of 24 July 2003 from US CCSP

Extend knowledge of the Earth’s past and present climate and environment, including its natural variability, and improve understanding of the causes of observed changes

Improve understanding of the forces bringing about changes in the Earth’s climate and related systems

Reduce uncertainty in projections of how the Earth’s climate and environmental systems may change in the future

Understand the sensitivity and adaptability of different natural and managed systems to climate and associated global changes

Explore the uses and identify the limits of evolving knowledge to manage risks and opportunities related to climate variability and change

Designed as a 10-year plan when released in July 2003, the CCSP Strategic Plan CCSP Strategic Plan calls for the creation of a series of more than 20 reports called Synthesis and Assessment Products (SAPs). The SAPs are intended to support informed discussion and decisions by policymakers, resource managers, stakeholders, the media, and the general public. They also will help define and set the future direction and priorities of the program.

CCSP reports and products SAP 1.1 In May 2006, the first of 21 planned CCSP Synthesis and Assessment reports was issued with NOAA serving as the lead agency. Titled "Temperature Trends in the Lower Atmosphere: Steps for Understanding and Reconciling Differences" CCSP SAP 1.1 web page Temperature Trends in the Lower Atmosphere: Steps for Understanding and Reconciling Differences the report identified and corrected errors in satellite temperature measurements and other temperature observations, allowing for increased confidence in the conclusion that on a global scale the lower atmosphere is growing warmer and that: "there is no longer a discrepancy in the rate of global average temperature increase for the surface compared with higher levels in the atmosphere." ... "the observed patterns of change over the past 50 years cannot be explained by natural processes alone". Press release of 2 May 2006 from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The report also noted that: "all current atmospheric data sets now show global-average warming that is similar to the surface warming. While these data are consistent with the results from climate models at the global scale, discrepancies in the tropics remain to be resolved." Executive Summary of CCSP SAP 1.1

SAP 2.1 Released in July 2007, CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Product 2.1 is titled "Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations and Review of Integrated Scenario Development and Application". CCSP SAP 2.1 web page Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations and Review of Integrated Scenario Development and Application The report utilizes three different integrated assessments models to explore emission scenarios that could result in the stabilization of greenhouse gas related radiative forcing at four different levels. The US Department of Energy was the lead agency for CCSP SAP 2.1.

Among the scenario highlights listed in the final report's executive summaryhttp://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap2-1/finalreport/sap2-1a-final-exec-summary.pdf are: "In the stabilization scenarios, GHG emissions reductions require a transformation of the global energy system, including reductions in the demand for energy (relative to the reference scenarios) and changes in the mix of energy technologies and fuels." and "Substantial differences in GHG emissions prices and associated economic costs arise among the modeling groups for each stabilization level. These differences are illustrative of some of the unavoidable uncertainties in long-term scenarios."

SAP 2.2 Titled "North American Carbon Budget and Implications for the Global Carbon Cycle" CCSP SAP 2.2 web page CCSP SAP 2.2 is also known as the Prototype State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR) focused on North America the report serves as the CCSP's carbon cycle chapter, and intends to provide scientific information for U.S. decision support focused on key issues for carbon management and policy. NOAA is serving as the lead agency for the report that is scheduled for release in September 2007.

SAP 3.1 CCSP 3.1 is named "Climate Models: An Assessment of Strengths and Limitations for User Applications". CCSP SAP 3.1 web page A draft of the report's introduction states: "It is the purpose of this report to help the reader understand the valid uses, as well as the limitations, of current climate models."http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap3-1/public-review-draft/sap3-1prd-ch1.pdf DOE is serving as the lead agency for the report that is scheduled for release in October 2007.

SAP 3.2 The use of global climate model in projecting future climate change is the focus of CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Product 3.2. Titled "Climate Projections Based on Emissions Scenarios for long-lived radiatively active trace gases and future climate impacts of short-lived radiatively active gases and aerosols" CCSP SAP 3.2 web page Climate Projections Based on Emissions Scenarios for long-lived radiatively active trace gases and future climate impacts of short-lived radiatively active gases and aerosols a draft of the report is scheduled to be made available for public review in September 2007. NOAA is serving as the lead agency for CCSP SAP 3.2.

SAP 3.3 A draft of CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Product 3.3 was made available for public review in August 2007. Titled "Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate" CCSP SAP 3.3 web page Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate - Regions of Focus: North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific islands its regions of focus are North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific. NOAA is serving as the lead agency for CCSP SAP 3.3.

CCSP directors

James R. Mahoney Biographical info for James R. Mahoney from CCSP web site served as the first director of the CCSP and Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere from April 2002 to March 2006.

William J. Brennan Biographical info for William J. Brennan from NOAA web site became acting-director of CCSP in June 2006. Press release of 19 June 2006 from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

In September 2006, Jane C. Luxton of Virginia was nominated by George W. Bush to fill the vacancy created by James Mahoney's retirement as Assistant Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere . Presidential Nomination: Jane Charlotte Luxton, White House web page The Luxton nomination stalled in the United States Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation, after concerns were raised about Luxton's work representing trade metals associations and her lack of experience with weather, oceanographic and climate related issues. Concerns raised about NOAA deputy administrator nominee stall confirmation process 6 December 2006 In 2001, Luxton served as council for a coalition of metals industry interests in a suit challenging an EPA regulation aimed at reducing cases of lead poisoning. Industry sues on extent of lead toxicity 17 April 2001 Lead-Reporting Rules Are Upheld 17 April 2001